Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.EDI SUSIANTO, Executive Director of the Bank of Indonesia: The decline of the Indonesian rupiah was affected by global sentiment and the rise of the US dollar."Black Myth: Wukong" won the TGA2024 Player's Voice Award.
Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.Brazilian President Lula's intracranial drainage tube has been removed and recovered well. On December 12, local time, the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil issued a medical announcement, saying that the intracranial drainage tube placed after President Lula's surgery had been removed that evening. At present, Lula is conscious and thinking normally, and is still in intensive care in the hospital. According to the announcement, Lula's nervous system is normal and there are no complications, and there will be no sequelae in the future. At present, he is recovering well and can eat and talk normally. The hospital advised him to continue to rest.A small plane crashed on a highway in New York, USA, causing one death and one injury. On the evening of December 12, local time, a small plane crashed on a highway in Westchester County, New York, USA, killing one of the two people on board and injuring the other. It is reported that the plane crashed into the guardrail in the middle of the highway. Emergency rescue vehicles blocked all the lanes of the accident section, and the environmental protection department has rushed to the scene to clean up the leaked aviation fuel.
Tao Lin: Tesla won four firsts in the evaluation of "User Satisfaction Index of New Energy Automobile Industry in China in 2024". Tao Lin Weibo, global vice president of Tesla, issued a document saying: Share a good news with friends. In the evaluation result of "NEV-CACSI of New Energy Automobile Industry in China in 2024" recently released by china association for quality, Won four firsts: Model 3 is the pure electric medium-sized car with the highest user satisfaction, Model Y is the pure electric medium-sized SUV with the highest user satisfaction, the first in sales service satisfaction and the first in after-sales service satisfaction.New Beiyang (Thailand) Company opened. According to the news of New Beiyang, on December 12th, the launching ceremony of New Beiyang (Thailand) Company was held in chonburi province, Thailand. This was the first factory established by New Beiyang overseas, which marked another major breakthrough in the company's internationalization strategy and laid a solid foundation for the company's future internationalization development. The park leased by New Beiyang (Thailand) Company covers an area of more than 5,500 square meters in the first phase. At present, the special printing and scanning product line built in the factory has been successfully put into production and is ready to start mass delivery. In the future, the company will continue to expand the production and delivery of some smart equipment products in Thai factories.Canadian officials: Considering limiting electricity to the United States to deal with the threat of US tariffs, Governor Doug Ford of Ontario, Canada, said on the 12 th that Ontario is considering limiting the supply of electricity to the United States as the ultimate means to deal with the threat of US President-elect Trump to impose tariffs on Canada. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau held a meeting with provincial and regional officials on the 11th to discuss how to deal with the Trump tariff threat. According to local media reports, Ford said after the meeting that Ontario is preparing a list of retaliatory measures, including restricting the export of electricity to the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14